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Existing Home Sales
Released On 7/19/2012 10:00:00 AM For Jun, 2012
PriorConsensusConsensus RangeActual
Existing Home Sales - Level - SAAR4.55 M4.650 M4.600 M to 4.730 M4.37 M
Existing Home Sales - M/M Change-1.5 %-5.4 %
Existing Home Sales - Yr/Yr Change9.6 %4.5 %

Highlights
Higher prices and strong sales early in the year aren't helping ongoing sales of existing homes which fell a surprising 5.4 percent in June to a 4.37 million annual rate which is the lowest of the year. Declines appear for both single-family homes and condos and declines sweep all regions.

But prices are higher, at least the median for this series which is up a strong 5.0 percent from May for a year-on-year plus 7.9 percent. The median price, at $189,400, is the highest in 2 years. Higher prices may be holding down sales but the rise, if confirmed in other data, is good news for homeowners whose equity has plunged over the past 4 years.

June's weak sales total raised supply on the market to 6.6 months at the current sales rate from 6.4 months. The report notes that distressed properties are still weighing down the markets in the Midwest and Northeast. This report marks a step backwards for the housing sector which had been enjoying a small run of positive news.

Market Consensus before announcement
Existing home sales dipped 1.5 percent in May to a 4.55 million annual rate. This followed a 3.4 percent boost the prior month. However, the rate opened the year at 4.63 million in January but has not netted any gain. The unseasonably warm weather at the beginning of the year, when sales were at their highest, likely pulled sales into the winter from the spring. Supply was a positive, rising only slightly at the current sales rate to 6.6 months.

Definition
Existing home sales tally the number of previously constructed homes, condominium and co-ops in which a sale closed during the month. Existing homes (also known as home resales) account for a larger share of the market than new homes and indicate housing market trends. (National Association of Realtors)  Why Investors Care
 
[Chart]
Existing home sales reached a peak in mid-2005 and have been easing since. Typically, a distinct reverse relationship exists between home sales and mortgage rates. However, sales and mortgage rates both have firmed in recent months.
Data Source: Haver Analytics
 

 

2012 Release Schedule
Released On: 1/202/223/214/195/226/217/198/229/1910/1911/1912/20
Release For: DecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov
 


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