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Factory Orders
Released On 12/4/2009 10:00:00 AM For Oct, 2009
PriorConsensusConsensus RangeActual
Factory Orders - M/M change0.9 %0.2 %-0.2 % to 0.8 %0.6 %

Highlights
The manufacturing of consumer goods is helping the manufacturing sector to expand. October factory orders rose 0.6 percent with details showing a 0.6 percent rise in durable consumer goods and a 2.3 percent rise in nondurable consumer goods, the latter always sensitive to price changes for energy. The gains helped to offset a 2.1 percent drop in orders for capital goods. Orders for motor vehicles, which is a major component in the report, rose 0.4 percent following surges of more than 4 percent in the prior two months. Strong unit vehicle sales in November point to sustained strength for vehicle orders. The manufacturing sector, during the summer, was among the very first sectors to flatten out and then turn higher. Today's data, especially together with this morning's extremely upbeat jobs report, point to sustained gains for factory orders, orders that are perhaps underpinned, in what would be a surprise to many, by domestic consumer demand.

Market Consensus before announcement
Factory orders rebounded strongly in September, rising 0.9 percent after a 0.8 percent decline in August. September's gain was led by durable goods orders which rose 1.4 percent. The non-durable goods component, boosted by chemical prices, rose 0.6 percent. Looking ahead, we are likely to see a weak number for October as the advance durables report showed a 0.6 percent drop, following a revised 2.0 percent increase in September. But the nondurables component may be a positive, boosted by further increases in energy costs.

Definition
Factory orders represent the dollar level of new orders for both durable and nondurable goods. This report gives more complete information than the advance durable goods report which is released one or two weeks earlier in the month.  Why Investors Care
 
[Chart]
Even though monthly shipment data fluctuate less than new orders, both series show underlying trends more clearly by looking at year-over-year changes. In 2005 for example,new orders rose more rapidly than shipments due to large gains in aircraft orders. Aircraft orders have a long lead to shipment.
Data Source: Haver Analytics
 

 

2009 Release Schedule
Released On: 1/62/53/54/25/16/37/28/59/210/211/312/4
Release For: NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
 


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