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Factory Orders
Released On 6/3/2009 10:00:00 AM For Apr, 2009
PriorConsensusConsensus RangeActual
Factory Orders - M/M change-0.9 %1.1 %-0.2 % to 1.6 %0.7 %

Highlights
Factory orders showed solid improvement in April, up 0.7 percent from March and led by a 1.7 percent surge in durable orders that more than offset a 0.1 percent decline in orders for non-durables. Factory destocking continues with inventories down 1.0 percent, a big plus as manufacturers re-align their stocks to meet the lower level of demand. Shipments fell 0.2 percent in the month though the rise in new orders suggests improvement in output in the months ahead. One negative is another decline in unfilled orders, down 1.2 percent in the month.

These results for April, especially in light of Monday's solid incremental improvement in the ISM manufacturing report for May, do support expectations that the manufacturing sector is carving out a bottom and may begin to show significant recovery in the second half of the year.

Market Consensus before announcement
Factory orders fell 0.9 percent in March showing an even mix between a 0.8 percent decline in durables (second estimate) and a 1.0 percent decline in nondurables. More recently, durables orders for April rebounded 1.9 percent in April, following a revised 2.1 percent drop in March. The latest durables number will make for a boost in overall new factory orders in April unless there is an unexpected plunge in nondurables orders-which is not likely given recent price hikes for oil.

Definition
Factory orders represent the dollar level of new orders for both durable and nondurable goods. This report gives more complete information than the advance durable goods report which is released one or two weeks earlier in the month.  Why Investors Care
 
[Chart]
Even though monthly shipment data fluctuate less than new orders, both series show underlying trends more clearly by looking at year-over-year changes. In 2005 for example,new orders rose more rapidly than shipments due to large gains in aircraft orders. Aircraft orders have a long lead to shipment.
Data Source: Haver Analytics
 

 

2009 Release Schedule
Released On: 1/62/53/54/25/16/37/28/59/210/211/312/4
Release For: NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
 


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