POWERED BY  econoday logo
Housing Starts
Released on 12/16/2009 8:30:00 AM For November, 2009
PriorConsensusConsensus RangeActual
Starts - Level - SAAR0.529 M0.575 M0.540 M to 0.600 M0.574 M
Permits - Level - SAAR0.552 M0.584 M

Highlights
Housing starts looked good for November but most of the gain was largely a comeback and then some in multifamily starts-a volatile component. The single-family component posted only a partial rebound. Construction companies picked up the pace of groundbreaking for new homes as housing starts in November rebounded 8.9 percent, following a revised 10.1 percent plummet in October. The November pace of 0.574 million units annualized came in right at the market forecast for 0.575 million units and was down 12.4 percent on a year-ago basis. The latest comeback was led by a 67.3 percent rebound in multifamily starts, following a sharp 29.5 percent plunge in October. Meanwhile the single-family component edged up 2.1 percent after a 7.1 percent fall the month before.

By region, the November rebound in starts was led by 16.4 percent rebound in the Northeast with gains also seen in the South, up 12.3 percent; Midwest, up 3.0 percent; and West, up 1.9 percent.

Homebuilders are modestly optimistic about ramping up the pace of construction as housing permits in November rebounded 6.0 percent after falling 4.2 percent in October. October's pace of 0.552 million units annualized was down 24.3 percent on a year-ago basis.

Today's housing starts report is good but should be seen in the context of October's weak numbers. The two months together indicate that housing is in a slow recovery. The bad news is that the recovery is slow. But the good news is that the housing construction recovery is slow-anything more robust at this point would not be sustainable.



Market Consensus Before Announcement
Housing starts in October unexpectedly dropped 10.6 percent, following a 1.9 percent gain the month before. The fall in October was led by a 34.6 percent plunge in multifamily starts but the single-family component also slipped-by 6.8 percent.

Definition
A housing start is registered at the start of construction of a new building intended primarily as a residential building. The start of construction is defined as the beginning of excavation of the foundation for the building.  Why Investors Care
 
[Chart] Monthly figures are often volatile; housing starts fluctuate more than many indicators. It takes several months for total housing starts to establish a trend. Consequently, we have depicted total starts relative to a five month moving average.
Data Source: Haver Analytics
 

2009 Release Schedule
Released On: 1/222/183/174/165/196/167/178/189/1710/2011/1812/16
Released For: DecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov
 


powered by [Econoday] [Apple App Store]
[Econoday on Kindle]